KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 81%
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$142
Liquidity
$6.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
9.0% / 15.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 8:00 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will John Cornyn win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill James Talarico win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExIf James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ken Paxton and James Talarico debate?
Manifold MarketsWill Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
KalshiIf James Talarico wins the Texas Senate election, will democrats win another statewide office?
Manifold MarketsRules
If John Cornyn publicly endorses James Talarico in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An "endorsement" requires: A clear, affirmative statement of support for James Talarico's election The statement must be public (not private communications) The endorsement must specifically reference the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election or be clearly in context of the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election The endorsement must come directly from John Cornyn or through official channels
- The following scenarios would resolve to YES: John Cornyn states "I endorse James Talarico for U.S. Senate" John Cornyn states "I support James Talarico" with clear reference to the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election John Cornyn states "I'm voting for James Talarico" publicly John Cornyn states "James Talarico has my full support" for the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election John Cornyn appears at campaign events specifically to endorse John Cornyn releases official endorsement through their organization John Cornyn allows their name/image to be used in James Talarico's campaign materials
- Statements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that John Cornyn is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
- The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement by John Cornyn in the specified race.
- If no qualifying endorsement of James Talarico occurs before November 3, 2026, this market resolves to No.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico??
- Kalshi prices No at 81% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico? resolve?
- Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If John Cornyn publicly endorses James Talarico in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.