Before Nov 3, 2026
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
No 68%
No 68%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$25.9
Open interest
$3.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Market data
Updated 20 minutes ago
Jun 22, 26, 9:59 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will James Talarico drop out?
KalshiWill Democratic candidate James Talarico win Tarrant County in the 2026 TX-SEN election?
Manifold MarketsWill James Talarico win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill John Cornyn endorse James Talarico
Manifold MarketsWill Abdul El-Sayed win by a larger margin than James Talarico does?
Manifold MarketsWhich demographics will James Talarico win?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
