KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Democratic party 79%+4.0ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$203
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
81.0% / 88.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Apr 16, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the the named outcome wins the Minnesota State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Times
- Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State Senate is sat for the session following the election.
- If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Minnesota State Senate winner??
- Kalshi prices Democratic party at 79% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Minnesota State Senate winner? resolve?
- Minnesota State Senate winner? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is Minnesota State Senate winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the the named outcome wins the Minnesota State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.