KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: NATO (99%)
Resolved: Apr 15, 2026, 3:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
NATO 99%+69.0ptLeader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
7 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 160 days ago
StaleMar 26, 26, 12:00 AMApr 23, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If Keir Starmer says Ceasefire as part of next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons), then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons) will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons) will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. For the purposes of this market, 'next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons)' refers to the next official PMQs session in which Keir Starmer participates, occurring after March 25th, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The event will resolve based on Keir Starmer speaking in an official capacity. If Keir Starmer is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).- Promotional content aired during the event will count, but advertisements will not. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for What will Keir Starmer say during the next Prime Minister's Questions??
- Kalshi prices NATO at 99% as of March 25, 2026.
- When does What will Keir Starmer say during the next Prime Minister's Questions? resolve?
- What will Keir Starmer say during the next Prime Minister's Questions? is scheduled to resolve on April 23, 2026.
- How is What will Keir Starmer say during the next Prime Minister's Questions? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Keir Starmer says Ceasefire as part of next Prime Minister's Questions (UK House of Commons), then the market resolves to Yes.