Before Aug 1, 2028
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored price
Yes 56%
Yes 56%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$659.8
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 12:00 AM UTCAug 1, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?
KalshiWill SCOTUS let people seek green cards after their asylum is terminated?
KalshiWill SCOTUS allow Arizona’s citizenship-proof and pre-election noncitizen-removal rules?
KalshiWill the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?
KalshiWill SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?
KalshiWill SCOTUS bar contempt for conduct not clearly prohibited by an injunction?
KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Supreme Court
- The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled, in Younge v. Fulton Judicial Circuit District Attorney’s Office, that a defendant whose answer omitted an affirmative defense may not assert that defense as the basis for summary judgment without amending or seeking to amend the answer, including where Rule 16(b)(4) would bar the amendment, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court holds that a defendant may rely on an unpled affirmative defense at summary judgment without amending or seeking to amend its answer, whether categorically or under a case-specific standard. If the case is dismissed, found to have been improvidently granted, or otherwise disposed of without a merits ruling on the Question Presented, or remanded without resolving that question, the market resolves to No.
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
