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Will SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?

Will SCOTUS reject narrow Free Exercise tests for Catholic preschools?

US PoliticsOne-Off2y

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Current implied probability

Yes

Yes 84%

Market quality

45 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$413.9

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

76.0% / 81.0%

Spread

5.0 pt

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 16 minutes ago

Jul 23, 26, 2:00 PMAug 1, 28, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Yes84%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If the Supreme Court, in St.

Mary Catholic Parish v.
Roy, rules either that establishing a lack of general applicability under Employment Division v.
Smith does not require unfettered discretion or categorical exemptions for identical secular conduct, or that Carson v.
Makin can displace Smith without an explicit exclusion of religious people or institutions, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled, in St.

Volume trend

$214

Jul 232d of dataJul 24

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Rules

If the Supreme Court, in St.

Mary Catholic Parish v.
Roy, rules either that establishing a lack of general applicability under Employment Division v.
Smith does not require unfettered discretion or categorical exemptions for identical secular conduct, or that Carson v.
Makin can displace Smith without an explicit exclusion of religious people or institutions, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled, in St.