Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims?
US PoliticsOne-Off1y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 51%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2
Liquidity
$414.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
42.0% / 49.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 24, 26, 12:00 AM UTCAug 1, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
If the Supreme Court, in Anderson v.
Settles via:Supreme Court
- Intel Corp. Investment Policy Committee, rules an ERISA plaintiff alleging imprudent investment based on fund underperformance need not plead a “meaningful benchmark", then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that, for claims predicated on fund underperformance, a plaintiff alleging that an ERISA fiduciary breached the duty of prudence when investing plan assets is not required to allege a “meaningful benchmark,” after Issuance and before August 1, 2028.
- The market resolves to No if the Court holds that such a claim requires alleging a meaningful benchmark.
- A remand resolves to Yes only if accompanied by the foregoing merits holding; dismissal, dismissal as improvidently granted, or remand without deciding the benchmark question resolves to No.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims??
- Kalshi prices No at 51% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims? resolve?
- Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims? is scheduled to resolve on August 1, 2028.
- How is Will SCOTUS reject a benchmark requirement for ERISA fund-underperformance claims? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Supreme Court, in Anderson v.
