New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
5.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection12mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
John Sununu, ≥10% 99%+1.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$5.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jun 17, 26, 8:04 PM UTCSep 8, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
If the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary falls within 5% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:New Hampshire Secretary of State
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by John Sununu minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if John Sununu loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by John Sununu minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind John Sununu if John Sununu wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if John Sununu loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if John Sununu wins, or the electoral votes received by John Sununu minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if John Sununu does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory??
- Kalshi prices John Sununu, ≥10% at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory? resolve?
- New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory? is scheduled to resolve on September 8, 2027.
- How is New Hampshire Republican Senate primary margin of victory? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the margin of victory for John Sununu in the 2026 New Hampshire Republican Senate primary falls within 5% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.