KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Marsha Blackburn, ≥3% 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$969
Liquidity
$44.3K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 5, 26, 5:54 PM UTCAug 6, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
If the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tennessee Secretary of State
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Marsha Blackburn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Marsha Blackburn if Marsha Blackburn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Marsha Blackburn loses.
- If Marsha Blackburn wins, the margin will be positive; if Marsha Blackburn loses, the margin will be negative; if Marsha Blackburn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Marsha Blackburn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory??
- Kalshi prices Marsha Blackburn, ≥3% at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory? resolve?
- Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory? is scheduled to resolve on August 6, 2027.
- How is Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.