New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
7.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection11h
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Pappas 20–25% 44%+7.0ptLeader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$87.6
Liquidity
$17.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
83.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 5:45 PM UTCSep 8, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
KalshiDelaware Democratic Senate Primary Winner
PolymarketNew Hampshire Democratic Senate primary: Chris Pappas vote percent
KalshiNew Hampshire Democratic Senate primary: Karishma Manzur vote percent
KalshiWill Chris Pappas win the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Primary for Senate?
Manifold MarketsWill Cinde Warmington win the New Hampshire Democratic primary election for Governor in 2026?
ForecastExRules
The New Hampshire Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate is scheduled to be held on September 8, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.