KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
William Lai · —
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Stored price
William Lai 72%Leader of 4 outcomes
William Lai 72%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$3.7K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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William LaiSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 15, 25, 2:00 PM UTCJan 31, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · William Lai
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Conditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?
Manifold Markets2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
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PolymarketHsinchu City Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketRules
If the winner of the next Taiwanese presidential election is William Lai, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Central Election Commission (CEC)
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- William Lai
- If the winner of the next Taiwanese presidential election is William Lai, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Terry Gou
- If the winner of the next Taiwanese presidential election is Terry Gou, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cheng Li-wun
- If the winner of the next Taiwanese presidential election is Cheng Li-wun, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hou Yu-ih
- If the winner of the next Taiwanese presidential election is Hou Yu-ih, then the market resolves to Yes.