KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Jodie Turner-Smith 26%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$708
Low liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jan 9, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Bond girl
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome performs/ is announced as Moneypenny in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:007.com
- For the purposes of this Contract, the named outcome satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: the named outcome is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Moneypenny in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: the named outcome appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Moneypenny in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but the named outcome was officially announced in Moneypenny, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Moneypenny?
- Kalshi prices Jodie Turner-Smith at 26% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Moneypenny resolve?
- Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Moneypenny is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is Next James Bond film: Actress cast as Moneypenny settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome performs/ is announced as Moneypenny in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.