KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Nov 7, 2026, 5:01 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
0 · —
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Stored price
0 37.5%Leader of 8 outcomes
0 37.5%Market quality
12 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10
Open interest
$83
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
0Spread
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Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleNov 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · 0
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
PolymarketWho will Trump pardon in 2026?
KalshiWho will Trump pardon before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31?
PolymarketWill Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItRules
If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 0 persons in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- 0
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 0 persons in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 2 persons in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3 to 9
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 3 and 9 persons in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to exactly 1 persons in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 10 to 24
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 10 and 24 persons in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 25 to 99
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 25 and 99 persons in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 100 to 249
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 100 and 249 persons in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 249
- If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to above 249 persons in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.