KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Saudi Arabia (99%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 10:12 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Saudi Arabia
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Saudi Arabia 82.5%+2.0ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$6.9K
Liquidity
$6.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
- / 21.0%
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleAug 18, 26, 11:15 AMAug 23, 26, 6:30 AM
Probability Timeline
Mexico21%
Saudi Arabia99%
82.5%
17.5%
Rules
If Mexico wins the World Cup 2026: Mexico vs. the named outcome Overwatch match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the full match in the World Cup 2026: Mexico vs. the named outcome Overwatch match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 If the relevant match is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant match is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant match begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market will resolve according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
- If the named outcome wins the World Cup 2026: Mexico vs. the named outcome Overwatch match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
