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Data as of Sep 20, 2026, 3:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Navdeep Bains 50%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$476
Low liquiditySpread
51.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 3:27 PM UTCNov 21, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027
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KalshiVenezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Ontario Liberal Party — Chief Returning Officer
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner · Navdeep Bains 50%
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.4M
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-32.1pt53.6%
- Delcy Rodríguez+31.5pt45.4%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Total Vol
- $33.5M
- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
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- $22.5M
- 24h Vol
- $562K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.6M
- 24h Vol
- $464.3K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner??
- Kalshi prices Navdeep Bains at 50% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner? resolve?
- Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner? is scheduled to resolve on November 21, 2027.
- How is Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.