Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastAngus Taylor 50%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleDec 1, 25, 12:07 AM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner?
KalshiWho will be the leader of the Liberal Democrats going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsOntario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
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KalshiRules
Users are welcome to add options to the market.
- User-submitted options may be edited to correct apparent spelling errors or to remove duplicate options.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the name of the person who is the leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the close date.
- This market is set to close at 12:59:00 UTC on 31 December 2027.
- Further information
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.4M
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-32.1pt53.6%
- Delcy Rodríguez+31.5pt45.4%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Total Vol
- $33.5M
- 24h Vol
- $713.5K
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Total Vol
- $22.5M
- 24h Vol
- $562K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.6M
- 24h Vol
- $464.3K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027?
- Manifold Markets prices Angus Taylor at 50% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027 resolve?
- Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2027 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Users are welcome to add options to the market.