How many states will redistrict before the midterms?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2026 US Midterms4d
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Below 8 · —
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Stored price
Below 8 97%Leader of 7 outcomes
Below 8 97%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$11.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Below 8Spread
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Market data
Updated 36 minutes ago
May 12, 26, 5:00 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Below 8
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
If below 8 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:legislature of the individual statesany court with jurisdiction over congressional redistricting in the individual statesthe official election administration office of the individual statesthe New York Times
- For purposes of this market, “undergo congressional redistricting” means satisfying the Payout Criterion of the REDISTRICTING contract. “After Issuance” in the REDISTRICTING contract is treated as “after July 1, 2025.” REDISTRICTING contract: https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contract_terms/REDISTRICTING.pdf
Rules for each outcome
- Below 8
- If below 8 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 9
- If exactly 9 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 10
- If exactly 10 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8
- If exactly 8 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 11
- If exactly 11 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 12
- If exactly 12 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 12
- If above 12 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.