Current implied probability
New York 74%Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
68.0% / 83.0%
Spread
22.1%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
May 11, 26, 9:00 PMNov 7, 28, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
New York74%
Volume trend
$300Jul 24d of dataJul 9
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If the New York legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- These maps must be: Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND Not enjoined, vacated, stayed, or struck down in full by any court with jurisdiction over congressional redistricting in New York as of the Expiration Date; AND In effect for use in the first scheduled federal election after its adoption
- For clarity: Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will resolve to YES if they are ultimately in effect by the Expiration Date Maps that are completely redrawn by a court or special master will resolve to NO Maps that are withdrawn by the Legislature before implementation will resolve to NO If no new maps are adopted by Nov 7, 2028, the market will resolve to NO
- If the Illinois legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- These maps must be: Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND Not enjoined, vacated, stayed, or struck down in full by any court with jurisdiction over congressional redistricting in Illinois as of the Expiration Date; AND In effect for use in the first scheduled federal election after its adoption
- If the Maryland legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.