KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Pablo Hernández de Cos · —
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Stored price
Pablo Hernández de Cos 37.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Pablo Hernández de Cos 37.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$4.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Pablo Hernández de CosSpread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 8, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Pablo Hernández de Cos
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Christine Lagarde still be the president of the European Central Bank through the end of 2026?
FutuurEuropean Central Bank rate decision in October
KalshiWho will replace Christine Lagarde at the European Central Bank?
PredictItWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending December, 17, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.9% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending December, 17, 2026?
ForecastExRules
If Pablo Hernández de Cos formally holds the position of President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:European Central Bank
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion. If the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, each named market resolves No.
Rules for each outcome
- Pablo Hernández de Cos
- If Pablo Hernández de Cos formally holds the position of President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Klaas Knot
- If Klaas Knot formally holds the position of President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Villeroy de Galhau
- If François Villeroy de Galhau formally holds the position of President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nadia Calviño
- If Nadia Calviño formally holds the position of President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Fabio Panetta
- If Fabio Panetta formally holds the position of President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Olli Rehn
- If Olli Rehn formally holds the position of President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Joachim Nagel
- If Joachim Nagel formally holds the position of President of the European Central Bank before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
