KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Foushee, 40+ pts 81%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$217
Liquidity
$347
Low liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
May 5, 26, 8:24 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 4th District by 37 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for North Carolina's 4th District margin of victory?
- Kalshi prices Foushee, 40+ pts at 81% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does North Carolina's 4th District margin of victory resolve?
- North Carolina's 4th District margin of victory is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is North Carolina's 4th District margin of victory settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 4th District by 37 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.