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Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 1:47 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Coalition including ODM 97%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$984
Low liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 16, 25, 2:00 PM UTCAug 30, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the winner of the next Kenyan National Assembly election is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Kenyan National Assembly winner??
- Kalshi prices Coalition including ODM at 97% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Kenyan National Assembly winner? resolve?
- Kenyan National Assembly winner? is scheduled to resolve on August 30, 2028.
- How is Kenyan National Assembly winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the winner of the next Kenyan National Assembly election is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.