KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Coalition including ODM · —
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Stored price
Coalition including ODM 49.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Coalition including ODM 49.5%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$984.2
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Coalition including ODMSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 16, 25, 2:00 PM UTCAug 31, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Coalition including ODM
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KalshiRules
If the winner of the next Kenyan National Assembly election is Coalition including ODM, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- Coalition including ODM
- If the winner of the next Kenyan National Assembly election is Coalition including ODM, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Coalition including UDA
- If the winner of the next Kenyan National Assembly election is Coalition including UDA, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Coalition including DCP
- If the winner of the next Kenyan National Assembly election is Coalition including DCP, then the market resolves to Yes.