Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
4.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffChessElectionMiddle EastSports4y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Naftali Bennett · —
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Stored price
Naftali Bennett 23%Leader of 10 outcomes
Naftali Bennett 23%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$580.7
Open interest
$3.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Naftali BennettSpread
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Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Aug 28, 26, 10:00 PM UTCOct 28, 30, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
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Venue terms
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Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Naftali Bennett
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KalshiRules
If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Times of Israel
- Only reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market concerns the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, including a government formed after repeat elections. A new government is formed when the Knesset expresses confidence in it. A retained incumbent counts if appointed in that new government; continuation in the outgoing government does not. Minister of Defense means the holder of the Defense portfolio, including a Prime Minister who also formally holds it. An acting substitute, deputy minister, additional minister within the Defense Ministry, or Minister of National Security does not count. If the portfolio is initially vacant, the first person subsequently appointed to it in that government counts. Nominations, coalition agreements, intended appointments, and hypothetical scenarios do not qualify as taking office. Later replacements do not change the first officeholder.
Rules for each outcome
- Naftali Bennett
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Israel Katz
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Israel Katz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Avigdor Lieberman
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Avigdor Lieberman is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gadi Eisenkot
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Gadi Eisenkot is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yair Golan
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Yair Golan is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yoav Gallant
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Yoav Gallant is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Benjamin Netanyahu is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Itamar Ben-Gvir
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Itamar Ben-Gvir is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ofer Winter
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Ofer Winter is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Benny Gantz
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Benny Gantz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
