Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95.8%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleSep 15, 23, 11:22 PM UTCJan 1, 99, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves YES if there are credible reports he has died in a plane crash (regardless of whether he is defense minister at the time).
- Resolves NO if there are credible reports he has died for some other reason.
- If he lives forever this market does not resolve.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/getby/will-chinas-defense-minister-li-sha)
