KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Sean Casten (99%)
Resolved: Nov 4, 2026, 4:22 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Sean Casten
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 3:28 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Niki Conforti5%
Sean Casten96%
Sean CastenWon
Niki ConfortiLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the House member sworn in for IL-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for IL-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
