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Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
At least 20% 0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 9:00 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Rules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Labour Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:London Borough of Camden
- The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
- Write-in votes in the result are included.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.
Open markets
Politics
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
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+45 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent?
- Kalshi prices At least 20% at 0% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent resolve?
- Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Labour Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.