KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 73%
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$35.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
27.0% / 30.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jan 13, 26, 3:00 PM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?
MyriadWill the Democrats sweep the Senate, House, and Presidency in the 2028 election?
ForecastExBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio de Janeiro (RJ)?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Democrats win the governorships of ALL of the following states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, AND Nevada in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution.
- If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins.
- For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold.
- For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors.
- Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races??
- Kalshi prices No at 73% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races? resolve?
- Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Democrats win the governorships of ALL of the following states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, AND Nevada in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.