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Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 5:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Roger Williams · —
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Stored price
Roger Williams 45.6%Leader of 10 outcomes
Roger Williams 45.6%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$7.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Roger WilliamsSpread
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Market data
Updated 30 minutes ago
May 10, 25, 2:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Roger Williams
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Roger Williams is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying for this Contract is the identity of the member of Congress with the greatest percent difference in the value of their assets in their end of year report for 2025 compared to the previous year (2025 value minus the previous year's value, all divided by the previous year's value, times one hundred). This will be calculated using Congress' annual personal financial disclosures (OGE Form 278e). Because each asset is given as a range of values in the disclosures, we use the midpoint of each range as an estimated value for that asset. The midpoint is calculated by taking the lower bound of the reported range plus the upper bound, and dividing by two. For example, if an asset is reported in the $15,001 – $50,000 range, the midpoint used would be $32,500.5 (the average of 15,001 and 50,000). In cases where the disclosure uses an open-ended top category (for instance, some forms list "Over $50,000,000" as the highest category for an asset value, with no upper limit), we will assign a value of $50,000,001 for that asset.
Rules for each outcome
- Roger Williams
- If Roger Williams is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nancy Pelosi
- If Nancy Pelosi is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Susan Collins
- If Susan Collins is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ron Wyden
- If Ron Wyden is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- David Kustoff
- If David Kustoff is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- David Rouzer
- If David Rouzer is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Debbie Wasserman-Schultz
- If Debbie Wasserman-Schultz is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Morgan McGarvey
- If Morgan McGarvey is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Larry Bucshon
- If Larry Bucshon is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Sessions
- If Pete Sessions is the person in Congress that has the highest return on their assets in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
