Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 69.3%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleJul 10, 26, 2:19 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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KalshiRules
Guess if more than one sitting member of Congress no longer be alive before the end of the day December 31, 2026?
- Update 2026-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only deaths occurring from the market posting date onward will count toward resolution.
- Deaths that occurred before the market was created (e.g., Doug LaMalfa and David Scott) are not included.
