KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Reform UK (99%)
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, 10:10 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Reform UK 96.1%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$70.2K
Liquidity
$789.4K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 18 days ago
StaleJul 7, 26, 11:00 PMSep 1, 27, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Restore Britain1%
Count Binface Party2%
Reform UK99%
96.1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Clacton by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tendring District Council
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Clacton by-election winner??
- Kalshi prices Reform UK at 96% as of August 14, 2026.
- When does Clacton by-election winner? resolve?
- Clacton by-election winner? is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2027.
- How is Clacton by-election winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Clacton by-election, then the market resolves to Yes.