KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 9:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
British Columbia 0%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownSpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 24, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority?
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KalshiRules
If the government of the named outcome calls a snap provincial election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBCThe VergeThe Canadian Press
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
- A snap election is one called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest date legally required.
- The announcement must be made by a person or body with the legal authority to call the election and must specify an actual election date.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028??
- Kalshi prices British Columbia at 0% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028? resolve?
- Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Which Canadian provinces will call a snap election before 2028? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the government of the named outcome calls a snap provincial election after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.