Current community forecast
No 55.3%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 3:34 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if the AfD wins more than half of all seats in the Landtag in a snap election held before Jan 1, 2028.
- Resolves NO if a snap election is held in that window and the AfD wins half or fewer of the seats.
- Resolves N/A if no snap election is held by then.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 55% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority? resolve?
- If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the AfD wins more than half of all seats in the Landtag in a snap election held before Jan 1, 2028.