Current implied probability
Before Oct 1, 2026 67%+3.0%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$11.1
Liquidity
$38.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
70.0% / 71.0%
Spread
1.4%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 29, 26, 4:32 PMOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before Oct 1, 202667%
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If Serbia officially announces a snap election for its national legislature or head of government before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A snap election announcement must be made by a person or body with legal authority to call elections in the specified country and must specify an actual election date.
- The election must be called to occur at least 90 days earlier than either the previously scheduled election date or the latest constitutionally required date.
- The announcement itself must occur before the deadline at 11:59 PM ET, regardless of when the election is scheduled.
- Examples that qualify include: Prime Minister dissolving parliament for early elections, President resigning triggering constitutionally-mandated early elections, votes of no confidence requiring new elections, or governing coalition collapse leading to early elections.
- Regional or local elections do not qualify - only national elections for the legislature or head of government count.