KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 12 57%Market line of 5 lines
At least 12 57%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$8
Open interest
$4.6K
Medium open interestSpread
23.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 2:00 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/4 - 10/10)
KalshiWill trump sign a 'national abortion ban' by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiWill Trump sign any cannabis-related legislation during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump sign a concealed-carry reciprocity bill?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump sign any national legislation restricting abortion?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the President signs above 11 bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Joint resolutions are included.
Rules for each outcome
- At least 10
- If the President signs above 9 bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 16
- If the President signs above 15 bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 14
- If the President signs above 13 bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 12
- If the President signs above 11 bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 18
- If the President signs above 17 bills into law in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
