Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 58.9%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 57 minutes ago
LaggingNov 10, 24, 7:37 AM UTCJan 22, 29, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
A national concealed-carry reciprocity law would allow people with concealed-carry permits—legal permission to carry a hidden firearm—from one state to carry their firearms in any other state that permits concealed carry.
- Currently, each state has its own rules for issuing concealed-carry permits and deciding which other states’ permits it will recognize, meaning a permit holder can legally carry in some states but not in others.
- A national reciprocity law would standardize this across state lines, similar to how a driver’s license is recognized nationwide.
- Trump has promised to make concealed-carry reciprocity a priority for his second term, although he also promised this in his first term.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump sign a concealed-carry reciprocity bill??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 59% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump sign a concealed-carry reciprocity bill? resolve?
- Will Trump sign a concealed-carry reciprocity bill? is scheduled to resolve on January 22, 2029.
- How is Will Trump sign a concealed-carry reciprocity bill? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A national concealed-carry reciprocity law would allow people with concealed-carry permits—legal permission to carry a hidden firearm—from one state to carry their firearms in any other state that permits concealed carry.