KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 20, 2026, 12:13 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Nick Mansour 0%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
3.0% / 90.0%
Spread
87.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 2:00 AM UTCNov 3, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Arizona State Treasurer general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Arizona Secretary of State
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
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- D-House, R-Senate29.7%
- Republicans sweep-1.0pt10.9%
+1 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt16%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party89%
- Republican Party11%
- Total Vol
- $33.3M
- 24h Vol
- $657.9K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.2pt18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.3pt16%
- Jon Ossoff16%
+48 more outcomes
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+0.7pt92%
- Yes-0.7pt8%
- Total Vol
- $22.5M
- 24h Vol
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Arizona State Treasurer winner??
- Kalshi prices Nick Mansour at 0% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Arizona State Treasurer winner? resolve?
- Arizona State Treasurer winner? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is Arizona State Treasurer winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Arizona State Treasurer general election, then the market resolves to Yes.