KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
39.7 to 39.9 59.8%+20.0ptLeader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$40.9K
Liquidity
$95.8K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Aug 28, 26, 3:00 PMSep 4, 26, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.4 and 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.7 and 39.9% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $908.6K
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.1pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe+1.5pt30.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.6%
+38 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt19%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva54.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt42.6%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt2%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt17.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom13.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $210.6M
- 24h Vol
- $525.3K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 39.7 to 39.9 at 60% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? resolve?
- Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2026.
- How is Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.