PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
38.5–38.9 43.2%-3.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.5K
Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 28, 26, 10:02 PMSep 4, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
- Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
- The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? · 39.7 to 39.9 54%
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump approval rating on September 4??
- Polymarket prices 38.5–38.9 at 43% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Trump approval rating on September 4? resolve?
- Trump approval rating on September 4? is scheduled to resolve on September 4, 2026.
- How is Trump approval rating on September 4? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
- Where else is Trump approval rating on September 4? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.
