KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: 41.1 to 41.3 (99%)
Resolved: Jul 17, 2026, 5:07 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
41.1 to 41.3 82.5%+65.0ptLeader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$36.5K
Liquidity
$235.5K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 46 days ago
StaleJul 10, 26, 3:00 PMJul 17, 26, 3:00 PM
Probability Timeline
40.5 to 40.714%
39.9 to 40.11%
40.8 to 41.09%
39.6 to 39.82%
41.1 to 41.399%
Above 41.34%
40.2 to 40.42%
82.5%
7.5%
3.3%
3.3%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
Rules
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.6 and 39.8% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.9 and 40.1% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.2 and 40.4% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.5 and 40.7% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump's approval rating on Jul 17, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 41.1 to 41.3 at 83% as of July 17, 2026.
- When does Trump's approval rating on Jul 17, 2026? resolve?
- Trump's approval rating on Jul 17, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on July 17, 2026.
- How is Trump's approval rating on Jul 17, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.