Before Jan 1, 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 97.8%
No 97.8%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$40.9K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Nov 21, 24, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations during Trump's term?
KalshiWhich countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
KalshiIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by which date?
PolymarketIsrael and Syria normalize relations by which date?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:The New York Times
- The agreement must be ratified as before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion. Examples of agreements that would be encompassed by the Payout Criterion include the agreements signed in 2020 and 2021 between Israel and Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Morocco.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.