Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
0.5 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffMiddle East3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 91%+0.5pt
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$918.9
Liquidity
$48K
High liquidityBid / Ask
8.0% / 10.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Nov 5, 25, 4:50 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.