KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityFrank Mrvan 90.9%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$11.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
85.0% / 90.6%
Spread
5.6 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 1, 25, 9:00 PMNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Frank Mrvan90%
Compare venues· Frank Mrvan
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall60% match · verified | Low | 82% | — | $0 | $25.5K | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
| KalshiThis page | Low | 90% | — | $0 | $11.6K | 18 minutes ago |
Also available on Polymarket
IN-01 House Election Winner
0.5 pts3mo
85.4%
-0.5pt14.6%
0%
+5 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$2.6K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$750Jul 310d of dataJul 22
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If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the House member sworn in for IN-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.