GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Mike Rounds 91.1%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jun 16, 26, 10:55 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- This event is mutually exclusive within the South Dakota Senate election.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for Mike Rounds is 93%. Quotes span about 1 percentage point between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Mike Rounds 93% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — South Dakota Senate winner? · Mike Rounds 91%
- Also available on Smarkets — South Dakota Senate Election Winner · Republican 99%
- Also available on Polymarket — South Dakota Senate Election Winner · Mike Rounds (R) 96%
Open markets
Politics
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POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for South Dakota US Senate Winner?
- Gemini prices Mike Rounds at 91% as of September 13, 2026.
- When does South Dakota US Senate Winner resolve?
- South Dakota US Senate Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026.
- How is South Dakota US Senate Winner settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Dakota?
- Where else is South Dakota US Senate Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Smarkets, Polymarket.