Current implied probability
Tina Kotek 81.2%
Tina Kotek 81.2%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$59
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
80.0% / 84.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jun 18, 26, 2:57 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket2026 Oregon Governor election winner?
Manifold MarketsWill Oregon Governor Tina Kotek complete the four year term of office?
Manifold MarketsRobert Neuman reveals details about his assault during Oregon governor campaign?
Manifold Markets2026 Oregon Governor Race
Robinhood (Rothera)Oregon Governor margin of victory
KalshiRules
Who will win the 2026 gubernatorial election in Oregon?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Oregon, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- This event is mutually exclusive within the Oregon gubernatorial election.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Tina Kotek (D) is 84%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference Tina Kotek (D) 84% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Oregon Governor Election Winner · Tina Kotek (D) 83%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — 2026 Oregon Governor election winner? · Tina Kotek (D) (Incumbent) 84%
- Also available on Kalshi — Oregon Governor winner? · Tina Kotek 80%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Oregon Governor Race · Democrat 81%