GeminiLimited verified dataData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Jul 27, 2026, 2:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityFrancesca Albanese 99%Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
May 13, 26, 6:39 PMOct 9, 26, 11:59 PM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Francesca Albanese99%
Compare venues· Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
0.7 pts2mo
11%
+0.9pt7%
+0.1pt7%
+68 more outcomes
74 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$22.9M
24h Vol$17.8K
POLYMARKET
Also available on Kalshi
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
5mo
+1.0pt26.6%
+1.0pt11%
9.2%
+18 more outcomes
76 • High qualityTight spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$708.7K
24h Vol$1.9K
KALSHIRules
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026?
- This market will resolve to YES if Francesca Albanese wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize.
- If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Francesca Albanese if Francesca Albanese is one of the named laureates.
- If Francesca Albanese is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO.
- The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026.
- If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026?
- This market will resolve to YES if Francesca Albanese wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize.
- If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Francesca Albanese if Francesca Albanese is one of the named laureates.
- If Francesca Albanese is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO.
- The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026.
- If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded.