GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 10, 2026, 9:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Francesca Albanese 99%Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownTraders
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Dec 10, 26, 3:00 PM UTCOct 9, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will nobelprize.org list someone besides Machado under 2025 Nobel Peace Prize by EOY?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
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Kalshi🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
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PolymarketRules
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026?
- This market will resolve to YES if Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize.
- If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) if Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) is one of the named laureates.
- If Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO.
- The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026.
- If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 · Yulia Navalnaya 8%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner · Save the Children 16%
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.1pt100%
- $25M+3.5pt99%
- $50M+7.9pt99%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.5M
- 24h Vol
- $2.8M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Total Vol
- $29.3M
- 24h Vol
- $982.2K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.5%
- D-House, R-Senate36.6%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt14.8%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.3M
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- Ken Paxton-2.0pt50.5%
- James Talarico+2.0pt49.5%
- Total Vol
- $11.2M
- 24h Vol
- $470.5K
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot-3.6pt56.8%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt29.5%
- Naftali Bennett7.4%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHITX-15 House winner?
- Bobby Pulido+4.0pt58.4%
- Monica De La Cruz-4.0pt41.6%
- Total Vol
- $2M
- 24h Vol
- $251.8K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026?
- Gemini prices Francesca Albanese at 99% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 resolve?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 is scheduled to resolve on October 9, 2026.
- How is Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026?
- Where else is Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Kalshi.