Will nobelprize.org list someone besides Machado under 2025 Nobel Peace Prize by EOY?
One-OffAwards2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJan 16, 26, 1:30 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027 be related to the Israel/Palestine conflict?
Manifold MarketsThe next time the GOP nominates someone besides Donald Trump, they will win the presidency
Manifold MarketsWill Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Polymarket2027 Nobel Peace Prize winner
KalshiNext non-Republican US President wins Nobel Peace Prize?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.