GeminiKYC requiredVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Kurt Alme 87.1%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 16, 26, 10:55 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Steve Daines win the Montana general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Reilly Neill win the Montana general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Kurt Alme win the Montana general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Montana?
PredictItMichigan US Senate Winner
GeminiDemocrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US Senate?
Manifold MarketsRules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- This event is mutually exclusive within the Montana Senate election.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Polymarket — Montana Senate Election Winner · Kurt Alme (R) 93%
- Also available on Smarkets — Montana Senate Election Winner · Republican 91%
- Also available on Kalshi — Montana Senate winner? · Kurt Alme 91%
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
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- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
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- 24h Vol
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- Delcy Rodríguez+41.0pt56%
- Nicolás Maduro-39.9pt43%
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+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $706.6M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.9M
- 24h Vol
- $635.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.7M
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Montana US Senate Winner?
- Gemini prices Kurt Alme at 87% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Montana US Senate Winner resolve?
- Montana US Senate Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026.
- How is Montana US Senate Winner settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana?
- Where else is Montana US Senate Winner listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Smarkets, Kalshi.