Data quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 16, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Nick Begich 43%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
1.0% / 85.0%
Spread
84.0 pt
Wide spreadTraders
0
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Nov 3, 26, 12:00 AM UTCNov 10, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Matt Schultz win the Alaska at-large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Nicholas Begich win the Alaska at-large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Bill Hill win the Alaska At-Large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExAlaska at large House General Election: voter turnout
KalshiNorth Dakota-At-Large House Winner
GeminiSouth Dakota-At-Large House Winner
GeminiRules
Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Alaska-At-Large?
- If the named outcome wins the 2026 U.S. House election in Alaska-AL, then this market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources.
- View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+14.4pt95%
- Yes-14.4pt5%
- Total Vol
- $20.9M
- 24h Vol
- $3.4M
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt75.3%
- New People (NL)+0.9pt19.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $218.7M
- 24h Vol
- $878.6K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt18%
- Gavin Newsom+3.4pt16%
- Jon Ossoff-0.5pt16%
+48 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen36.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt26.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.3%
+38 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-31.0pt21%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-44.0pt13%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-46.0pt11%
+7 more outcomes
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Alaska-At-Large House Winner?
- Gemini prices Nick Begich at 43% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does Alaska-At-Large House Winner resolve?
- Alaska-At-Large House Winner is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026.
- How is Alaska-At-Large House Winner settled?
- Gemini settles this market as follows: Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Alaska-At-Large?