Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Smarkets data is temporarily unavailable. Odds shown are the last values we collected on Oct 7, 2026.
Current implied probability
Yes 82%
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$109
Liquidity
$7.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
82.0% / 88.5%
Spread
6.5 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 15 days ago
StaleTrends
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.