Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 10:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
2026-09-30 / 30th September 2026 100%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleMay 25, 26, 4:07 PM UTCDec 30, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
On what dates will Andy Burnham’s successor be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next leader of the Labour Party after Andy Burnham?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen when Andy Burnham is Prime Minister (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWhat will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
KalshiWhat will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
PolymarketRules
Each answer resolves YES if Keir Starmer’s successor is Prime Minister at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer AND has been so continuously since their appointment.
- If they lose their job for any reason (including death/firing/resignation/losing an election) then all remaining answers will resolve NO.
- Add more dates if you want more granularity.