SmarketsCheck availabilityKYC requiredLimited verified dataData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 7, 2026, 4:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Smarkets data is temporarily unavailable. Odds shown are the last values we collected on Oct 7, 2026.
Current implied probabilityRepublican 91.7%
Market quality
10 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 15 days ago
StaleTrends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What Party will win the 2026 Arkansas Senate Election?
Manifold Markets2026 Arkansas Senate Race
Robinhood (Rothera)Arkansas Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketArkansas Senate margin of victory
KalshiArkansas Senate General Election: voter turnout
KalshiArkansas Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Arkansas Senate Race · Republican 96%
- Also available on Polymarket — Arkansas Senate Election Winner · Tom Cotton (R) 95%
- Also available on Kalshi — Arkansas Senate winner? · Tom Cotton 95%